Is Load Shedding a Political Tool? Unpacking South Africa’s Power Crisis

South Africa has been thrown into disarray once again as Stage 6 loadshedding grips the nation, leaving citizens in the dark—both literally and figuratively. The official explanation points to unexpected generator failures, but public scepticism is mounting. Could this be more than just a technical hiccup? With the Expropriation Act recently signed into law, the abrupt withdrawal of USAID funding, and a delayed budget speech looming over a possible 2% VAT hike, many are questioning the timing of these power cuts. Are we witnessing a calculated political strategy?
Recent developments paint a complex picture of political manoeuvring and economic strain. The signing of the Expropriation Act, which enables the government to acquire land for public purposes, was met with swift international backlash. The U.S. government responded by pulling USAID funding, a critical financial pipeline that supported sectors such as HIV research and prevention. This decision has exacerbated South Africa’s already dire financial situation, with the government scrambling to fill a budget deficit.
The proposal of a 2% VAT hike to offset this shortfall sparked public outrage, forcing the government to postpone the budget speech to March 2025. In a nation where economic hardship is already prevalent, this delay only heightened anxiety. It was against this backdrop that Stage 6 load shedding intensified, conveniently after public backlash over the VAT proposal. Coincidence? Some think not.
A Political Power Play?
Public sentiment suggests that load shedding is being used as a political weapon. Political commentator Joe Emilio noted, “The ANC is effectively saying, ‘Give us more money, or South Africans will suffer.’” This perspective aligns with claims that the power utility Eskom has been burning through diesel at an unsustainable rate, contradicting earlier assurances of grid stability.
Further compounding scepticism is the fact that South Africa’s private rooftop solar capacity has surged from 983 MW in March 2022 to 4412 MW by mid-2023—double the output of Koeberg, the country’s only nuclear power station. If citizens are producing more power privately, why are state-driven power cuts worsening? The narrative of “multiple breakdowns” becomes even less convincing in light of these statistics.
Public Outrage and Distrust
The timing of the power outages has led to public accusations of political manipulation. Social media is ablaze with comments likening the government’s attitude to that of Marie Antoinette’s infamous “Let them eat cake” statement, reflecting a growing sentiment of alienation and anger. One commentator observed, “They are a curse to our nation. If we don’t get rid of them, we are doomed.”
The crisis has also exposed a deeper political rift within the ruling coalition. The budget speech delay was attributed to a lack of consensus on the proposed VAT increase, indicating internal discord. Political analysts argue that the ANC could be using loadshedding to coerce coalition partners into supporting the unpopular VAT hike.
South Africa stands at a pivotal moment, facing political, economic, and social upheaval. The strategic timing of load shedding amidst budgetary turmoil and international funding cuts raises questions that cannot be ignored. Is this merely poor governance and mismanagement, or a calculated political strategy?
With public trust eroding rapidly, the government’s next moves will be critical in shaping the nation’s future. Transparency, honest communication, and a commitment to serving public interests are essential to restoring faith in leadership. Until then, South Africans are left to weather the darkness—both figurative and literal.